Cooling Inflation Sparks Crypto Market Volatility

March 13, 2025

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Cooling Inflation Sparks Crypto Market Volatility

A recent report from the Federal Reserve indicates a notable easing in inflationary pressures, prompting varied reactions across financial sectors, particularly in cryptocurrencies. The latest data from the Labor Department reveals that the February consumer price index rose 0.2% from January, with an annual inflation rate of 2.8%. These figures slightly undershot expectations set by Dow Jones economists, who anticipated monthly and yearly increases of 0.3% and 2.9%, respectively.

Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy costs, also showed moderation, increasing 0.2% for the month and 3.1% over the year, slightly below the projected 0.3% and 3.2% gains.

Historically, diminished inflationary pressures and potential rate adjustments have tended to bolster risk assets, including cryptocurrencies. Following the release, the crypto market exhibited mixed reactions, initially trending upwards. Bitcoin surged by up to 5%, while Ethereum experienced a modest decline of 0.87%. Other cryptocurrencies such as XRP, SOL, and ADA saw gains exceeding 3% within the past 24 hours, with social cryptocurrency Pi notably soaring by 19%. Conversely, Tron, Aptos, Aave, and Ethereum Classic recorded losses ranging from 1% to 7%.

Market sentiment, as reflected by the CME FedWatch Tool, currently indicates expectations for three quarter-point rate reductions throughout the year. Investors eagerly await further insights from the upcoming release of the producer price index, scheduled for Thursday, which will provide additional clarity on the U.S. consumer's economic health amidst recent indications of potential economic softening.

Looking ahead, all eyes are on the Federal Reserve's March meeting later this month, where policymakers are anticipated to maintain current interest rates as they continue to assess the evolving inflationary landscape.